FIRST INTERNATIONAL SYMPOSIUM ON
IMPRECISE PROBABILITIES AND THEIR APPLICATIONS

Ghent, Belgium
30 June - 2 July 1999

ELECTRONIC PROCEEDINGS

Joseph B. Kadane, Elias Moreno, Maria Eglee Perez, and Luis Raul Pericchi

Applying Non-parametric Robust Bayesian Analysis to Non-opiniated Judicial Neutrality

Abstract

This paper explores the usefulness of robust Bayesian analysis in the context of an applied problem, finding priors to model judicial neutrality in an age discrimination case. We seek large classes of prior distributions without trivial bounds on the posterior probability of a key set, that is, without bounds that are independent of the data. Such an exploration shows qualitatively where the prior elicition matters most, and qualitatively how sensitive the conclusions are to specified prior changes.

Keywords. discrimination, elicitation, law, linearization, moment problem

The paper is available in the following formats and sites:

Authors addresses:

Elias Moreno

Dpto. Estadistica e IO
Universidad de Granada
18071 - Granada - Spain

Luis Raul Pericchi

Center for Statistics and Mathematical Software CESMA,
Universidad Simon Bolivar,
Edif MYS-108, Apartado 89.000,
Caracas 1080A,
Venezuela

E-mail addresses:

Joseph B. Kadane none
Elias Moreno emoreno@ugr.es
Maria Eglee Perez none
Luis Raul Pericchi pericchi@cesma.usb.ve


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